ARPA Update as of December 27, 2024

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

We, at Ryan ALM, Inc., wish for you a happy, healthy, and prosperous New Year in 2025. May the markets continue to treat you well. However, nothing grows to the heavens, so it may be wise to alter one’s asset allocation and reduce risk as the year begins given inflated valuations, particularly for large cap US equities.

Regarding ARPA and the PBGC’s on-going effort implementing this critical legislation, there was a pause in activity during the last week. Good for them, as 2024 has been an incredibly busy and successful year. Regarding last week, the PBGC’s eFiling portal remains temporarily closed, so there were no new applications filed. There also weren’t any applications denied, withdrawn, or approved. Finally, there were no repayments made by funds that had received excess SFA.

To recap 2024, the PBGC approved 36 applications, awarding more than $16.2 billion in SFA grants that went to support the promised benefits for 458,446 plan participants. WOW! As the chart below highlights, only 15 of the 87 Priority Group members have yet to have the applications for SFA approved. Three of those applications are currently under review. Of the 115 funds seeking support that weren’t initially identified as a Priority Group member, 64 pension plans have participated to some extent in this program with 33 of those applications approved.

US Treasury note and bond yields (longer maturities) have risen sharply in the last few months. They are at levels not witnessed since early this year. As a result, they are providing plan sponsors with a wonderful opportunity to reduce risk without giving up potentially higher returns. We’d be happy to provide a free analysis on what could be achieved within your plan. Don’t hesitate to reach out to us.

Again, Happy New Year!

ARPA Update as of December 20, 2024

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Happy Holidays from all of us at Ryan ALM, Inc. We wish you and yours a joyous holiday season and a spectacular 2025 filled with great health, abundant friendships, and calm markets.

Despite the onset of the holiday season, the PBGC was still at work implementing the ARPA legislation. Santa arrived early for one plan, as Roofers Local No. 75 Pension Fund received approval for its SFA grant. They will receive $6.8 million for the 275 plan participants. This was the initial filing for this non-priority group member. Congrats!

In other ARPA-related news, there were no new applications submitted as the PBGC’s efiling portal remains temporarily closed. There are currently 28 applications under review, including one Priority Group 5 member and two Priority Group 6 members. Fortunately, there were no applications denied or withdrawn during the previous week.

Lastly, there was one fund that repaid excess SFA assets due to census errors. Gastronomical Workers Union Local 610 and Metropolitan Hotel Association Pension Fund repaid $696k (or 2.09%) after receiving $33.3 million in SFA. This fund is one of only 3 to repay SFA in excess of 2% of the grant received. In total, $159.3 million has been repaid on grants of more than $41 billion or 0.38% of the allocations.

The Bloomberg chart below demonstrates the significant rise in U.S. rates during the last month. Recipients of SFA funds would be wise to secure the promised benefits with 100% of the grant money. Equity markets appear to be quite frothy. Time to reduce risk, while taking full advantage of the higher interest rates.

ARPA Update as of December 13, 2024

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Welcome to the last full week before the Christmas season kicks off. Most investors will be sorry to see 2024 come and go. For the PBGC, 2024 has been a year of great accomplishments, with the approval of Special Financial Assistance (SFA) for 35 multiemployer plans covering 458,171 participants with SFA grants totaling $16.2 billion – wow!

The last week was a continuation of the PBGC’s activity with seven more funds submitting applications seeking $638.2 million for nearly 27k members. The applications included five new submissions and 2 revised applications. The applicants included the Dairy Industry-Union Pension Plan for Philadelphia and Vicinity, Bricklayers Pension Fund of West Virginia, United Wire, Metal and Machine Pension Plan, Distributors Association Warehousemen’s Pension Trust, Local 945 I.B. of T. Pension Plan, Alaska Teamster – Employer Pension Plan, and the Local 888 Pension Fund. Grant requests ranged from United Wire’s $228.5 million to the Bricklayers $1.96 million for their 170 participants.

In addition to the new submissions, there was one approval. Teamsters Local 11 Pension Plan will receive $29.3 million for the 2,012 members of its plan. This North Haledon, NJ fund submitted a revised application on August 29, 2024. In other ARPA news, there were no applications denied or withdrawn during the previous 7 days. In addition, there were no new plans added to the waitlist or forced to repay a portion of the SFA due to census errors.

US Treasury interest rates backed up fairly significantly last week as inflation data came in a little higher than recent trends giving bonds investors reason to challenge the narrative that the Fed would continue pushing down the Fed Funds rate. The higher rates are providing plan sponsors with greater cost savings on future benefits through cash flow matching strategies.

Good Job, PBGC!

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Did you know that there exists an oversight body for the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC)? The 1988 amendments to the Inspector General Act of 1978 created the PBGC Office of the Inspector General (OIG) of the PBGC. They are responsible for providing independent and objective audits, inspections, evaluations, and investigations to help Congress, the PBGC Board of Directors, and the PBGC itself to protect pension benefits for both multiemployer and private plans.

The latest report, covering the period April 1-September 30, 2024, has been sent to Congress. The PBGC has received mostly positive results. As a reminder, the PBGC ensures the pension benefits of more than 31 million American workers and retirees who participate in more than 24,500 private-sector pension plans through its single-employer and multiemployer insurance programs. Quite the effort!

Furthermore, as regular readers of this blog know, the PBGC has been engaged since 2021 in implementing the Special Financial Assistance (SFA) program, that was housed in the ARPA legislation. As of September 30, 2024, the report highlights the following stats regarding the PBGC’s effort:

  • received 165 SFA applications requesting $76 billion;
  • approved 127 of the SFA applications; (includes supplemental applications of which there were 35)
  • provided $68 billion in SFA; and
  • was reviewing 22 SFA applications, requesting a total of $2.5 billion.

One area of concern, which seems to have been corrected, was the census data possibly being wrong in the various applications leading to overpayment of SFA grants. According to the OIG report, there could be incorrect census data on applications leading to as much as $250 million in overpayments. To date, the PBGC has recouped $144 million from 19 plans. This sum is a small percentage (<0.5%) of what has been paid out to date.

The OIG says it “determined that the PBGC’s SFA procedures were generally sufficient to ensure that increases in projected benefit payments were (1) consistently identified, (2) evaluated against appropriate criteria, and (3) documented. In addition, the OIG reports that the PBGC responded to its findings and recommendations regarding the SFA program, which is says has significantly improved the PBGC’s SFA procedures.”

According to our analysis, there are potentially 202 applicants seeking SFA grants. With 102 funds having received approval to date, there remains much work is left to be done. There is no time to sit on one’s laurels!

ARPA Update as of November 29, 2024

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

We hope that you had a very enjoyable holiday weekend. Welcome to December. That doesn’t seem possible.

Despite the holiday shortened week, the PBGC was quite busy, announcing that four multiemployer plans had submitted applications seeking Special Financial Assistance (SFA). Those funds included Laborers’ Local No. 91 Pension Plan, Southwestern Pennsylvania and Western Maryland Area Teamsters and Employers Pension Fund, Oregon Processors Seasonal Employees Pension Plan, and The Legacy Plan of the UNITE HERE Retirement Fund. Local 91’s application was its initial attempt at getting the SFA, while the other three submitted revised applications. In total, these four are seeking a total of just over $1 billion for the 102,356 plan participants. A significant majority of the assets being requested and plan members are in the UNITE HERE fund.

With regard to the Teamsters’ plan, they withdrew and then resubmitted the application on November 27th. That plan is hoping to receive $120.7 million in SFA for the 2,759 members of its fund. In other news, two funds received approval for their applications, including Lumber Industry Pension Plan and Local 1034 Pension Plan. Both plans had submitted revised applications. In total, they will get $159.6 million in SFA and interest for 7,155 plan participants. I suspect that the announcement of a successful PBGC approval made for a wonderful Thanksgiving celebration.

Finally, there were no applications denied, no funds repaid excess SFA, and no plans sought to be added to the waitlist at this time, which continues to list 53 non-priority plans that have not yet been allowed to submit an initial application.

The two plans that received approval for the SFA last week brings to 102 the number of plans that have been awarded SFA grants ($69.7 billion) since the program launched in July 2021. There are still 100 plans that may be eligible to receive this special financing.

ARPA Update as of November 22, 2024 – #100!!!

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Welcome to Thanksgiving Holiday week. We wish for you and your family a day filled with love, laughs, and lots of great eating. I wish for myself a TV blackout so that I don’t have to watch the Giants!

We are thrilled to report that the PBGC has approved the Special Financial Assistance (SFA) for the 100th multiemployer plan. Employers’ – Warehousemen’s Pension Plan, a Los Angeles, CA, based non-priority plan will receive $41.4 million in SFA grants and interest for its 1,821 plan participants. The PBGC has now approved grants in the amount of $69.5 billion. By our estimate, there are still 102 funds in the queue to potentially receive an SFA allocation. Clearly, there is much more to do.

In other news from last week, Laborers’ Local No. 265 Pension Plan was permitted to submit a revised application seeking just over $55 million to support its 1,460 members. Rounding out the week, there were no applications denied or withdrawn. There were no excess SFA funds returned. Finally, no pension funds sought to be added to the waitlist, which currently has 58 funds waiting to submit an initial application.

As we enter the Thanksgiving holiday week, let us be incredibly thankful for how beneficial the ARPA legislation has been for the 1,414,505 plan participants who have seen their promised benefits SECURED. For many of these pensioners who were in pension plans on the verge of collapse, the securing of these benefits through the SFA grants has been the difference between supporting oneself or being at the mercy of the Federal social safety net through no fault of their own. The nearly $70 billion may seem like a steep price to pay to some, but it is far less expensive than the cost of a pay-as-you-go system to support those 1.4 million American workers who buy goods and services with their pension checks. We all benefit from that activity. Great job ARPA and the PBGC.

ARPA Update as of November 15, 2024

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

I can’t believe that Thanksgiving is next week. It appears that the PBGC was motivated to get some things done in anticipation of that holiday, as we witnessed more activity last week than we’ve been seeing in the most recent past.

There were four applications filed last week, including the following pension plans: Roofers and Slaters Local No. 248 Pension Plan, Pension Plan of the Asbestos Workers Philadelphia Pension Fund, Local 1783 I.B.E.W. Pension Plan, and Cement Masons Local Union No. 567 Pension Plan. These plans are not seeking significant sums as far as the SFA goes, as in total they are seeking $92.6 million for 2,637 participants. The IBEW plan out of Armonk, NY submitted a revised application. The other three were the initial filings for these plans.

Pleased to report that Local 360 Labor-Management Pension Plan received approval for its revised application. This fund will receive $30.4 million for the 6,117 members of the plan. This fund initially filed an SFA application in early 2023 only to withdraw it in July 2023. Good for them that they were finally successful in receiving the grant.

Local 810 Affiliated Pension Plan wasn’t as fortunate as Local 360, as they withdrew the initial application that had been seeking $104.1 million for 1,437 members of the plan. In addition to the four new filings, the one withdrawal, and the one approved application, the PBGC also was involved in negotiating two repayment of excess SFA due to census errors. Iron Workers Local 17 Pension Fund
Bricklayers and Allied Craftsmen Local 7 Pension Plan returned $260,471.70 representing only 19 bps of the SFA grants awarded. To date, 25 funds have returned a total of $149.9 million representing 0.38% of the awarded grants.

Recessionary expectations have waned in the last couple of months and flows into bonds, which had been strong for most of the year have recently turned negative. As a result, US interest rates have backed up. It is a great time to secure the promised benefits (and expenses) through cash flow matching strategies. A rising rate environment will be quite bearish for traditional fixed income shops. We’ll be happy to provide you and your fund with a free analysis of what can be achieved through a defeasement strategy.

ARPA Update as of November 1, 2024

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Welcome to November. I’m shocked by how quickly the year is flying by. I’m also thankful that the incessant political commercials will soon be behind us.

The PBGC had a very good and busy last week, as we witnessed quite a bit of activity in the implementation of the ARPA legislation. Always pleased to announce that three plans received approval for Special Financial Assistance, including the last member of the #6 priority group. Pension Plan of the Marine Carpenters Pension Fund (their initial application), United Food and Commercial Workers Union and Participating Food Industry Employers Tri-State Pension Plan (the Priority Group 6 member), and Local 111 Pension Plan were granted a total of $736.1 million for just over 32k participants.

In addition to the approvals, the eFiling portal was open to Lumber Industry Pension Plan and the Laborers’ Local No. 130 Pension Fund. In the case of the lumber Industry plan, it appears that they get to chop off some of the wait time for approval as their application indicates an expedited review. This plan is seeking $103.2 million for 5,834 members. Local No. 130 filed its initial application in which they are hoping to receive $32.1 million for 641 plan participants.

There were also four plans that withdrew initial applications for SFA. Alaska Plumbing and Pipefitting Industry Pension Plan, Lumber Industry Pension Plan, Upstate New York Engineers Pension Fund, and Pension Plan of the Automotive Machinists Pension Trust were collectively seeking $438.3 million for just under 22k participants. Each of these plans are non-priority funds. Only 15 of the original 87 Priority Group members have not received approval at this time.

Finally, there were no applications denied during the prior week and no funds rebated excess SFA on account of census errors. There were also no pension plans added to the waitlist which stands at 63 that haven’t seen any activity at this time. There hasn’t been a plan added to the waitlist since July 2024 with the addition of the Production Workers Pension Plan.

“More Needs To Be Done!” – Do You Think?

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

This post is the 1,500th on this blog! I hope that you’ve found our insights useful. We’ve certainly appreciated the feedback – comments, questions, and likes – throughout the years. A lot of good debate has flowed from the ideas that we have expressed and we hope that it continues. The purpose of this blog is to provide education to those engaged in the pension/retirement industry. We have an incredible responsibility to millions of American workers who are counting on us to help provide a dignified retirement. A goal that is becoming more challenging every day.

As stated numerous times, doing the same-old-same-old is not working. How do we know? Just look at the surveys that regularly appear in our industry’s media outlets. Here is one from MissionSquare Research Institute done in collaboration with Greenwald Research. The survey reached a nationally representative sample of 1,009 state and local government workers between September 12 and October 4. What they found is upsetting, if not surprising. According to the research, “81% are concerned they won’t have enough money to last throughout retirement, and 78% doubt they’ll have enough to live comfortably during their golden years.”

Some of the other findings in the survey also tell a sad story. In fact, 73% of respondents are concerned they won’t be able to retire on time, while the same number are unsure whether they’ll have sufficient emergency savings. How terrible. The part about being able to retire “on time” is not often in the workers control wether because of health and the ability to continue to do the required task or as a result of other plans by their employer. Amazingly, public sector workers believe that their current retirement situation is better than those in the private sector. Wow, if that isn’t telling of the crisis unfolding in this country.

Given these results, it shouldn’t be shocking that unions are seeking a return of DB plans as the primary retirement vehicle. We know that asking untrained individuals to fund, manage, and then disburse a “benefit” through a defined contribution plan is poor policy. We’ve seen the results and they are horrid, with median balances for all age groups being significantly below the level needed to have any kind of retirement. Currently, the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers are on strike at Boeing, and a major sticking point is the union’s desire to see a reopening of Boeing’s frozen DB plan.

We’ve also recently seen the UAW and ILA memberships seek access to DB plans. It shouldn’t be a shock given the ineffectiveness of DC plans that were once considered supplemental to pensions. Again, asking the American worker to fund a DC offering with little to no disposable income, investment acumen, or a crystal ball to help with longevity concerns is just foolish. Yes, there is more to do, much more! It is time to realize that DB plans are the only true retirement vehicle and one that helps retain and attract talented workers who aren’t easily replaced. Wake up before the crisis deepens and everyone suffers.

ARPA Update as of October 25, 2024

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Welcome to the last week of October. Like many of us, I can’t wait to see my children’s and grandchildren’s costumes on Thursday. The weather in NJ will be more like June than the end of October. Enjoy!

With regard to the PBGC’s effort to implement the ARPA pension legislation, last week’s activity was rather muted. I’m happy to report that we had one plan’s application approved, as I.B.E.W. Pacific Coast Pension Fund will receive $75.5 million in SFA and interest for 3,318 plan participants. This brings the number of approved applications to 95 and the total award of SFA to $68.8 billion. There are still 107 applications that are in the queue to eventually (hopefully) receive special financial assistance, with 64 yet to file an initial application.

Also, during the past week, we had the Laborers’ Local No. 265 Pension Plan withdraw its application. That plan is seeking $55.6 million for 1,460 members of its plan. This was the initial application for this fund which had been filed on July 11, 2024. There has been a total of 117 applications filed and withdrawn throughout the ARPA implementation. Some funds have seen multiple applications withdrawn and resubmitted.

Given the limited activity last week, it isn’t surprising to learn that the eFiling Portal remains temporarily closed. There is still much to accomplish with this legislation and time, although not currently an issue, will become one should this process linger beyond 2025.

Lastly, the recent move up in US Treasury rates bodes well for those plans receiving SFA and wanting to use cash flow matching to secure the promised benefits. Ryan ALM is always willing to produce an initial analysis on what can be achieved through CFM in terms of a coverage period. Don’t hesitate to reach out to us.