ARPA Update as of December 5, 2025

By: Russ Kamp, CEO, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Welcome to the first review of December 2025. We aren’t quite at the beginning of winter, but you could sure fool me, as New Jersey is gripped by cold front and we saw our first modest snowfall just in time for me to start decorating my house for Christmas. I hope that you had a wonderful weekend.

With regard to ARPA and the PBGC’s implementation of this critical legislation, there was a little reported activity last week, but certainly not enough to make a dent in the current waitlist. Unfortunately, the PBGC’s e-Filing portal remains temporarily closed. Despite that fact, pension plans continue to be added to the waitlist. USW District 10, Local 286 Pension Plan is the latest fund, making it the 186th non-priority group plan added since the start of the program. By my estimate, there are still 83 pension funds sitting on the waitlist hoping to get a chance to submit an application for SFA grant $.

In other APRA news, two pension funds received approval to receive the SFA. Teamsters Local 210 Affiliated Pension Plan and Local Union 1710 I.B.E.W. Pension Trust Fund, both non-priority plans, will receive a total of $149.2 million in SFA for just over 9,500 participants. As mentioned above, the PBGC’s e-Filing portal remains temporarily closed, so there were no additional applications received during the week. There are currently 24 applications in front of PBGC staff.

In addition, there were no plans asked to rebate a portion of their SFA grant due to census errors, and there haven’t been since mid-September. Fortunately, no plans were denied the ability to submit an application due to the lack of eligibility and no applications were withdrawn. However, there were six plans that locked-in a valuation date, as each chose 9/30/25 as the plan’s measurement date. There are still 14 plans on the waitlist that haven’t chosen to lock-in a valuation date.

With the two approvals from last week, there are now 147 plans that have or will soon receive Special Financial Assistance totaling $74.7 billion supporting the earned pensions for 1.85 million American workers and retirees. Outstanding! That is a lot of economic stimulus that helps more than just the recipient of the retirement benefit, but also the communities in which they reside.

Housing: A Major Impediment to Saving for Retirement

By: Russ Kamp, CEO, Ryan ALM, Inc.

The demise of defined benefit (DB) pensions is putting great financial pressure on individuals to save for retirement through a defined contribution (DC) program. I’ve often railed about asking untrained individuals to take on the responsibility to fund, manage, and then disburse a “benefit” through a DC plan, arguing that most Americans don’t have the necessary disposable income, investment acumen, or a crystal ball to help with longevity issues.

Many (most)Americans are financially strapped and there are many contributors to this crisis, including student loan debt, monthly childcare expenses, food, medical insurance, car/home insurance, and housing costs to name but a few. I could address each of these and the impact that they have on the average American worker, but let’s focus on housing today. The cost of buying and maintaining a residence is suffocating. Property taxes often add the equivalence of a monthly “mortgage” on top of one’s monthly mortgage, especially if you live in high tax states such as New Jersey.

Here are some startling facts when comparing the impact of housing costs on families from the 1950s to today’s circumstances. It wasn’t unusual to have only one member of a couple (mostly the male) working outside the home in the 1950s. That ability has nearly vanished today. Why? Well for one, the average home was <$7,400 in the early ’50s and the average family income was roughly $3,300. So, for slightly more than 2Xs one’s family income you could own your roughly 1,000 square foot home.

Today, the median home is priced at $431k according to Redfin, while the median household income is <$80k. Maryland leads that way at just over $94,000, while Mississippi trails all states at $44k. It now costs more than 5Xs one’s family income to purchase a home in the U.S. By the way, the “average” home in the ’50s would be worth about $98k in today’s $s so about 23% of what it actually costs to buy today. Oh, my! The housing market has dramatically outpaced inflation during the last 7 decades, and there doesn’t seem to be an end to the escalation despite the greater home prices and today’s interest rate environment.

Just the housing costs alone are a great burden of the American worker. Add to this expenditure all that was mentioned above and then some, and you shouldn’t be surprised that median 401(k) balances are as anemic as they are. Let’s work together to bring back traditional DB plans so that most Americans will have a decent opportunity to retire before their 80th birthday!

“More Needs To Be Done!” – Do You Think?

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

This post is the 1,500th on this blog! I hope that you’ve found our insights useful. We’ve certainly appreciated the feedback – comments, questions, and likes – throughout the years. A lot of good debate has flowed from the ideas that we have expressed and we hope that it continues. The purpose of this blog is to provide education to those engaged in the pension/retirement industry. We have an incredible responsibility to millions of American workers who are counting on us to help provide a dignified retirement. A goal that is becoming more challenging every day.

As stated numerous times, doing the same-old-same-old is not working. How do we know? Just look at the surveys that regularly appear in our industry’s media outlets. Here is one from MissionSquare Research Institute done in collaboration with Greenwald Research. The survey reached a nationally representative sample of 1,009 state and local government workers between September 12 and October 4. What they found is upsetting, if not surprising. According to the research, “81% are concerned they won’t have enough money to last throughout retirement, and 78% doubt they’ll have enough to live comfortably during their golden years.”

Some of the other findings in the survey also tell a sad story. In fact, 73% of respondents are concerned they won’t be able to retire on time, while the same number are unsure whether they’ll have sufficient emergency savings. How terrible. The part about being able to retire “on time” is not often in the workers control wether because of health and the ability to continue to do the required task or as a result of other plans by their employer. Amazingly, public sector workers believe that their current retirement situation is better than those in the private sector. Wow, if that isn’t telling of the crisis unfolding in this country.

Given these results, it shouldn’t be shocking that unions are seeking a return of DB plans as the primary retirement vehicle. We know that asking untrained individuals to fund, manage, and then disburse a “benefit” through a defined contribution plan is poor policy. We’ve seen the results and they are horrid, with median balances for all age groups being significantly below the level needed to have any kind of retirement. Currently, the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers are on strike at Boeing, and a major sticking point is the union’s desire to see a reopening of Boeing’s frozen DB plan.

We’ve also recently seen the UAW and ILA memberships seek access to DB plans. It shouldn’t be a shock given the ineffectiveness of DC plans that were once considered supplemental to pensions. Again, asking the American worker to fund a DC offering with little to no disposable income, investment acumen, or a crystal ball to help with longevity concerns is just foolish. Yes, there is more to do, much more! It is time to realize that DB plans are the only true retirement vehicle and one that helps retain and attract talented workers who aren’t easily replaced. Wake up before the crisis deepens and everyone suffers.

Does This Look Like Success?

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

The following was a headline for a MarketWatch.com article, “The 401(k)’s success has been overlooked and will help even more Americans”, which I saw on a LinkedIn.com post earlier today. Sure, some American workers have benefited from their ability to fund a DC account, but the vast majority of Americans are struggling.

Does This look like success?

Perhaps the level of savings would be okay if DC plans were actually supplemental retirement vehicles, but since they have morphed into the primary retirement program for most workers, this is a disaster. I’m tired of the fact that we only ever see “average” balances reported. Of course, a few well-funded balances will drive the average up. Let’s focus on the MEDIAN account balances. Does a $70,620 account balance for a 65+ year-old participant look like a successful outcome? How much would that balance provide on a monthly basis for a roughly 20-year retirement?

If I were fortunate to have a defined benefit plan that provided $2,000/month (which isn’t a lot) for 20-years, I would receive $480K in retirement which is 6.8Xs what the 65+ year-old with the median account balance has today. It is a far cry when compared to the view that $1.4 million is the balance needed to have a dignified retirement today. It is silly to believe that the average American has the disposable income, investment acumen, and predictive ability to gauge how long they will live in order to allocate this meager balance to ensure that the recipient doesn’t outlive their savings.

The investment industry can celebrate all they want as it relates to the total accumulated wealth in defined contribution plans, but for the “median” American, it just isn’t close to being enough. Defined benefit plans should be the backbone of our retirement system, while DC plans occupy the supplemental role for which they were designed. As someone in that LinkedIn.com post stated, “the numbers don’t lie”. I would certainly agree, but that doesn’t mean that the #s are revealing success!