Milliman: Another good month for pension funding

By: Russ Kamp, CEO, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Whether one is referring to public pensions or private DB plans, September was a continuation of the positive momentum experienced for most of 2025. Milliman has reported on both the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI), which analyzes the 100 largest U.S. corporate pension plans and its Public Pension Funding Index (PPFI), which analyzes data from the nation’s 100 largest public defined benefit plans.

Milliman estimates that public pension funds saw aggregate returns of 1.7%, while corporate plans produced an average return for the month of 2.5%. As a result of these gains (sixth consecutive gain), public pension funded ratios stand at 85.4% up from 84.2% at the end of August. Corporate plans are now showing an aggregate funded ratio of 106.5%, marking the highest level since just before the Great Financial Crisis (GFC).

Public pension fund assets are now $5.66 trillion versus liabilities of $6.63 trillion, while corporate plans added $26 billion to their collective net assets increasing the funded status surplus to $80 billion. For corporate plans, the strong 2.5% estimated return was more than enough to overcome the decline in the discount rate to 5.36%, a pattern that has persisted for much of 2025.

“Robust returns helped corporate pension funding levels improve for the sixth straight month in September,” said Zorast Wadia, author of the Milliman PFI. “With more declines in discount rates likely ahead, funded ratios may lose ground unless plan assets move in lockstep with liabilities.”

“Thanks to continued strong investment performance, public pension funding levels continued to improve in September, and unfunded liabilities are now below the critical $1 trillion threshold for the first time since 2021,” said Becky Sielman, co-author of the Milliman PPFI. “Now, 45 of the 100 PPFI plans are more than 90% funded while only 11 are less than 60% funded, underscoring the continued health of public pensions.”

Discount rates have so far fallen in October. It will be interesting to see if returns can once again prop up funded status for corporate America. It will also be interesting to see how the different accounting standards (GASB vs. FASB) impact October’s results. A small gain for corporate plans may not be enough to overcome the potential growth in liabilities, as interest rates decline, but that small return may look just fine for public pension plans, that don’t mark liabilities to market only assets.

View this Month’s complete Pension Funding Index.

View the Milliman 100 Public Pension Funding Index.

Milliman: Corporate Pension Funding Up

By: Russ Kamp, CEO, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Milliman released its monthly Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI), which analyzes the 100 largest U.S. corporate pension plans, and they are reporting that the collective funded ratio has risen to 105.1% as of June 30th from 104.9% at the end of May. The driving force behind the improved funding was the powerful 2.6% asset return for the index’s members, which more than offset the growth in pension liabilities as the discount rate fell by 19 bps.

As a result of the significant appreciation during the month, the Milliman PFI plan assets rose by $27 billion to $1.281 trillion during the month from $1.254 trillion at the end of May. The discount rate fell to 5.52% in June, from 5.71% in May and it is now down slights from 5.59% at the beginning of the year. 

“The second quarter of 2025 was a win-win for pensions from both sides of the balance sheet, as market gains of 3.42% drove up plan assets while modest discount rate increases of 2 basis points reduced plan liabilities and resulted in the highest funded ratio since October 2022,” said Zorast Wadia, author of the PFI.

Zorast further stated that “if discount rates decline in the second half of the year, plan sponsors will need to be ever more focused on preserving funded status gains and employing prudent asset-liability management.” We couldn’t agree more. We, at Ryan ALM, believe that the primary goal in managing a DB pension plan is to secure the promised benefits at a reasonable cost and with prudent risk. It is NOT a return objective. Having achieved this level of funding allows plan sponsors and their advisors to significantly de-risk their plans through Cash Flow Matching (CFM), which is a superior duration strategy, as each month of the assignment is duration matched.

Corporate Pension Funding Improves Once Again – Milliman

By: Russ Kamp, CEO, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Milliman has provided its monthly update on the health of corporate America’s largest 100 pension plans with the release of the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI). The good news continues, as the funded ratio for the PFI plans advanced last month from December’s 104.8% to 105.8% as of January 31, 2025. The improved funded ratio reflected both asset growth of $9 billion as a result of a 1.19% return for the index, while a minimal increase of 1 basis point in the discount rate (now 5.6%) reduced plan liabilities to $1.237 trillion. According to the Zorast Wadia, author of the Milliman PFI, the improved funded ratio marks a 27-month high.

Zorast went on to say, “With Fed rate cuts still a possibility this year, prudent asset-liability management remains a key directive for plan sponsors to preserve the funded status gains achieved thus far.” We don’t make interest rate forecasts at Ryan ALM, but we wholeheartedly agree with Zorast regarding the prudence of preserving the impressive funding gains realized during the last couple of years. Given the stretched equity valuations, taking risk of the table and securing the promised benefits through a cash flow matching strategy makes great sense.

Corporate Pension Funding Improves, Again: Milliman

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

The Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI) has once again been produced (View the complete Pension Funding Index). The index, which includes the largest 100 U.S. corporate pension plans, reveals a positive change in the funded ratio for November 2024. Asset growth of 1.88% lifted the combined assets of these 100 plans by $18 billion, which was more than enough to overcome growth in the present value of the future benefit payments ($13 billion). The funded ratio improved to 103.5% from October’s 103.2%.

The discount rate for valuing pension liabilities now stands at 5.21% as of November 30, 2024. The current rate represents a 10 basis point decline from the end of October. “November saw the second consecutive month of improvement in the PFI funded ratio, with the 1.88% investment gain more than offsetting the rise in plan liabilities caused by falling discount rates,” said Zorast Wadia, author of the PFI.

Given the incredible performance of risk assets during the last two years, valuations appear very stretched. Many corporate plans have reduced risk through ALM strategies, including cash flow matching (CFM). It may be time to reduce asset allocation risk to a greater extent, especially for those plans that continue to manage the pension’s assets in a more traditional approach.