Tag Archives: Pension Liabilities

03.07.25
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Reminder: Pension Liabilities are Bond-like

By: Russ Kamp, CEO, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Milliman has released the results for their corporate pension index. The Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI), which tracks the 100 largest U.S. corporate pension plans showed deterioration in the funded ratio dropping from 106.0% to the 104.8% as of month-end. This was the first decline following four consecutive months of improvement. It was the fall in the discount rate from 5.60% to 5.36% during the month that lead to growth in the combined liabilities for the index constituents. As a reminder, pension liabilities (benefit payments) are just like bonds in terms of their interest rate sensitivity. As yields fall, the present value of those future promises escalate.

Milliman reported an asset gain of $18 billion during the month, but that wasn’t nearly enough to offset the growth in liabilities creating a $13 billion decline in funded status. “Gains in fixed income investments helped shore up the Milliman 100 pension assets, but were not strong enough to counter the sharp discount rate decline,” said Zorast Wadia, author of the PFI. Given the uncertain economic and capital markets environments, it is prudent to engage at this time in a strategy to effectively match asset and liability cash flows to reduce the volatility in the funded ratio. Great strides have been made by America’s private pensions. Allowing the assets and liabilities to move independently could result in significant volatility of the funded status leading to greater contribution expenses.

You can view the complete pension funding report here.

09.20.24
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Hall of Famer? She Absolutely is!

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Markets Group has published an interview that Christine Giordano conducted with Robin Diamonte, CIO, RTX. In addition, Markets Group will hold a ceremony inducting Robin into the Chief Investment Officer Hall of Fame in Boston during the 11th Annual New England Institutional Forum on Sept 25-26. I wish that I could be there to help celebrate Robin’s splendid career.

The interview should be required reading for anyone in the pension arena. She got a wonderful start in this industry working for and with Britt Harris, another outstanding CIO, while they were at Verizon (I knew them when it was GTE).

Here are a couple of quotes that truly speak to her knowledge of the space. They just so happen to echo what we at Ryan ALM, Inc. have been espousing for decades. “It’s about understanding what the focus is or the mission of your group. Back in the 1990s, chief investment officers and investment teams really didn’t understand what liabilities were. All we were really is a moneymaker for the company. We provided great returns. We outperformed our liabilities.” There are still a lot of plans that pay little heed to the promises that have been given, focusing instead on achieving the ROA, which even if attained, doesn’t guarantee success.

Robin added, “Then over time, we had a couple of crises. We had the tech bubble bust, and then the global financial crisis. We had perfect storms during those periods where equity markets went down and interest rates went down at the same time. Many of the corporations found that their funded status went from well over 100% down into the 70s, and that happened with UTC (United Technologies).” Yes, markets can behave like rollercoasters leading to significant swings in the plan’s funded status and contribution expenses.

She continued, “I think it was the immediate realization of our mission is not to get great investment returns, our mission is to get great investment returns, but also understand what our liabilities were.” Yes, you, as a plan sponsors, have made a promise and we believe that the promise is what should drive asset allocation decisions and not some ROA that is often chosen for other reasons.

That realization lead her to this conclusion, “the mission at that point when our funded level was only 70% was, “Let’s fill in the gap so that we get to 100% or 110% or whatever is needed. We do that in a way that we’re not taking a lot of risk versus our liabilities.” Absolutely right! That is why she is a Hall of Famer in my book.

I also want to commend her for the outstanding work she did as a member of the PBGC’s Advisory Committee. She was instrumental in bringing ALM/LDI insights to the PBGC which has helped them to greatly improve this organizations balance sheet. Congratulations, Robin. There is no finer plan sponsor to induct into the CIO hall of fame than you.

10.02.15
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Weakening Jobs Growth To Further Pressure DB Plans

Given the news from this morning regarding US job growth (only 142,000 jobs added and revisions down in the previous two months), it would not surprise us to see US interest rates continue to fall.  If in fact this happens, DB plans’ funded ratios and funded status will continue to weaken. As we’ve reported on numerous occasions, plan liabilities, although discounted at the ROA, do not grow at the same rate as assets.

Liability growth has far outpaced asset growth in the last 15 years, and the asset allocation mismatch that exists between a plan’s assets and liabilities continues to be dramatic.  With most everyone expecting interest rates to rise, fixed income exposures have been reduced and bond durations shortened. A combination that continues to weigh on plan performance.

We continue to believe that weak global growth will keep interest rates low for the foreseeable future, and as such, fixed income exposures should be increased and reconfigured to meet near-term liabilities.  I will be discussing this concept / strategy at the upcoming FPPTA conference on Tuesday in Naples, FL.

Plans continue to focus almost exclusively on their fund’s ROA, but the liability side of the equation needs some attention, too, especially given the prospects for continuing global economic weakness.  In this environment, a plan will not close it’s funding gap through outperformance relative to its ROA.