By: Russ Kamp, CEO, Ryan ALM, Inc.
Milliman has released the results for their corporate pension index. The Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI), which tracks the 100 largest U.S. corporate pension plans showed deterioration in the funded ratio dropping from 106.0% to the 104.8% as of month-end. This was the first decline following four consecutive months of improvement. It was the fall in the discount rate from 5.60% to 5.36% during the month that lead to growth in the combined liabilities for the index constituents. As a reminder, pension liabilities (benefit payments) are just like bonds in terms of their interest rate sensitivity. As yields fall, the present value of those future promises escalate.
Milliman reported an asset gain of $18 billion during the month, but that wasn’t nearly enough to offset the growth in liabilities creating a $13 billion decline in funded status. “Gains in fixed income investments helped shore up the Milliman 100 pension assets, but were not strong enough to counter the sharp discount rate decline,” said Zorast Wadia, author of the PFI. Given the uncertain economic and capital markets environments, it is prudent to engage at this time in a strategy to effectively match asset and liability cash flows to reduce the volatility in the funded ratio. Great strides have been made by America’s private pensions. Allowing the assets and liabilities to move independently could result in significant volatility of the funded status leading to greater contribution expenses.
You can view the complete pension funding report here.