The Status Quo Isn’t Working

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Anyone who has read just a handful of the >1,400 blog posts that I’ve produced knows that I am a huge fan of defined benefit (DB) plans. That I’ve come to loathe the fact that DB plans were/are viewed as dinosaurs, and as a result have been mostly replaced by ineffective defined contribution plans. As a result, the American worker is less well-off given the greater uncertainty of their funding outcome. A dignified retirement is getting further out of reach for a majority of today’s workers.

That said, just because I desire to see DB plans maintained as the primary retirement vehicle, doesn’t mean that I appreciate how many of them have been managed. The pension plan asset allocations remain focused on the wrong objective, which continues to be the ROA and NOT the plan’s liabilities. It is this mismatch in the primary objective that has exacerbated the volatility of the funded ratio/status and contribution expenses. As I’ve stated many times, it is time to get off the asset allocation rollercoaster. We need to bring an element of certainty to the investment structure despite the fact that outcomes within the capital markets are highly uncertain.

How bad have things been? According to a recently produced analysis by Piscataqua Research, Inc., which regularly reviews the performance of both assets and liabilities for 127 state and local retirement systems, since 2000 contributions as a % of pay have tripled, while funded status has declined by more than 25%. Again, I’m not here to bash public funds. On the contrary, I am here to offer a potential solution to the volatility exhibited. I wrote a piece many years (1/17) ago titled, “Perpetual Doesn’t Mean Sustainable” in which I discussed the need to bring stability to these critically important retirement plans because at some point there might just be a revolt from the taxpayers that are lacking defined benefit participation themselves. We can’t afford to have tens of millions of American public fund workers added to the federal social safety net God forbid their retirement plans are terminated and benefits frozen prematurely.

There is only one asset class – bonds – in which the future performance is known on the day that the bond is acquired. You can’t tell me what Amazon or Tesla will be worth in 10 years or the value of a building or private equity portfolio, but I can tell you how much interest and principal you will have earned on the day that the bond matures, whether that be 3-, 5-, 10- or 30-years from now. That information is incredibly valuable and can be used to match and SECURE the pension plan’s liabilities. That portion of the plan’s assets will now provide stability and certainty reducing the ups and downs exhibited through normal market behavior. Why continue to embrace an asset allocation that has NO certainty? An asset allocation that can create the explosion in contribution expenses that we’ve witnessed.

DB plans need to be protected and preserved! Ryan ALM’s focus is solely on achieving that lofty goal. It should be your goal, too. Let us help you get off the asset allocation rollercoaster before markets reach their peak and we once again ride those market down creating a funding deficit that will take years and major contributions to overcome.

Investment Strategy Alternatives to PRTs

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Kudos to Ed McCarthy who wrote a terrific article for PlanSponsor that addressed alternative strategies to Pension Risk Transfers (PRTs) that have been so prevalent in recent years. The article featured comments from Zorast Wadia, Principal and Consulting Actuary, Milliman, the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, and me. Not surprisingly, I address asset/liability management (ALM) strategies, with a particular focus on Cash Flow Matching (CFM). The hope is that DB plan sponsors will seek alternatives to the PRT trend that will protect and preserve these critically important retirement vehicles for the American worker.

Please don’t hesitate to reach out to me if I can be of any assistance or respond to any questions that you might have regarding ALM in general or CFM specifically.

ARPA Update as of May 31, 2024

By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.

Welcome to June and the latest update on the PBGC’s effort to implement the ARPA pension legislation. There isn’t much to report, but I’m happy to mention that two plans received approval of the SFA applications.

Maryland Race Track Employees Pension Plan and the Radio, Television and Recording Arts Pension Plan were granted approval for SFA totaling $89.6 million. Both plans were categorized as non-priority funds. In the case of the Maryland Race Trace Employees, they are galloping toward receiving $26.7 million for the 1,407 plan participants, while the Radio, Television and Recording Arts will no longer have to perform for their benefits as they will get $62.8 million for the plan’s 516 participants or roughly $121 K per participant.

The only other reported activity had the Carpenters Pension Trust Fund – Detroit & Vicinity pulling its application that was seeking $595.5 for more than 22,000 members of the plan. This non-priority plan from Troy, MI, pulled its initial application. There were no new applications filed or rejected. No plans were added to the waitlist and no pension funds returned excess SFA assets.

June looks to be shaping up as a busy month for the PBGC, as there are nine funds that have approval dates this month, including the Bakery and Confectionery Union and Industry International Pension Fund, that is seeking nearly $3.2 billion in SFA. In total, the nine funds are hoping to gather more than $6 billion in grants for 233,845 participants. Six of the nine funds are waiting to get approval from the PBGC on revised applications. Good luck.

Pension Problem – Earning the ROA

By: Ron Ryan, CEO, Ryan ALM, Inc.

We are pleased to share with you the latest research from Ron Ryan, who provides a unique perspective on asset allocation and the important role that Cash Flow Matching (CFM) can play in helping plan sponsors achieve the elusive ROA. How would you like another 50 bps with little risk? Using CFM to defease pension liabilities through a corporate bond exposure (primarily A/BBB+) could enhance the fixed income return versus the Aggregate Index that is heavily skewed to lower yielding government securities. In addition to the enhanced return, the CFM strategy provides the necessary liquidity to meet ongoing benefits and expenses.

We are acknowledged experts in Cash Flow Matching. We regularly provide a free analysis on what a CFM strategy could do for you and your plan as it relates to the critically important management of assets/liabilities. Don’t hesitate to reach out to us. We look forward to being a resource for you.