By: Russ Kamp, Managing Director, Ryan ALM, Inc.
The Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI) has once again been produced (View the complete Pension Funding Index). The index, which includes the largest 100 U.S. corporate pension plans, reveals a positive change in the funded ratio for November 2024. Asset growth of 1.88% lifted the combined assets of these 100 plans by $18 billion, which was more than enough to overcome growth in the present value of the future benefit payments ($13 billion). The funded ratio improved to 103.5% from October’s 103.2%.
The discount rate for valuing pension liabilities now stands at 5.21% as of November 30, 2024. The current rate represents a 10 basis point decline from the end of October. “November saw the second consecutive month of improvement in the PFI funded ratio, with the 1.88% investment gain more than offsetting the rise in plan liabilities caused by falling discount rates,” said Zorast Wadia, author of the PFI.
Given the incredible performance of risk assets during the last two years, valuations appear very stretched. Many corporate plans have reduced risk through ALM strategies, including cash flow matching (CFM). It may be time to reduce asset allocation risk to a greater extent, especially for those plans that continue to manage the pension’s assets in a more traditional approach.